Applied DigitalShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Bearish
Structural led a bearish call; the other agents split, so conviction reflects the disagreement.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.60
.38
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 11.6 (falling -7.3 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.308
Industry Index falling -7.3 [no link]−0.22639%
Industry Index level 11.6 [no link]−0.08114%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.308
📉
Price momentum Bearish
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.50, confidence 0.31 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.249
▸Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]−0.08815%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0509%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0386%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0163%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0153%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0132%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0112%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0061%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0051%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0051%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0041%
ADX 14 (trend strength 0.35) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.29 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 44 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.249
⚖️
Options positioning Bullish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 67% / put 33% (net skew 0.33), unusualness 37/100. Context: earnings in 2 days.
+0.029
▸1 item(s) · sums to +0.029
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.60.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.528
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.60
→
Conviction
0.38
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.38 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26