Bloom EnergyShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-13Bearish
Structural carried this call — it supplied almost the entire lean; the other voters nearly net out.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.58
.31
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 15.8 (falling -6.8 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.434
Industry Index falling -6.8 [no link]−0.32355%
Industry Index level 15.8 [no link]−0.11219%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.434
⚖️
Options positioning Bullish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 60% / put 40% (net skew 0.19), unusualness 34/100. Context: earnings in 9 days.
+0.023
▸1 item(s) · sums to +0.023
📉
Price momentum Bullish
Technical flat across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.03, confidence 0.10 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.007
▸Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0448%
Momentum (medium) [no link]+0.0224%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0163%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0132%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0102%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0091%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0061%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0061%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0041%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0030%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0010%
ADX 17 (trend strength 0.42) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.16 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 48 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.007
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.58.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.404
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.58
→
Conviction
0.31
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.31 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-13 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26