CamtekShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Bearish
Structural carried this call — it supplied almost the entire lean; the other voters nearly net out.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.65
.41
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 8.8 (falling -9.4 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.445
Industry Index falling -9.4 [no link]−0.32955%
Industry Index level 8.8 [no link]−0.11619%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.445
⚖️
Options positioning Bearish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 14% / put 86% (net skew -0.72), unusualness 36/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 5 days.
−0.102
▸1 item(s) · sums to -0.102
📉
Price momentum Bullish
Technical flat across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.02, confidence 0.14 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.005
▸Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0132%
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]−0.0102%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0071%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0041%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0041%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0031%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0031%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0020%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0010%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0010%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0000%
ADX 10 (trend strength 0.24) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.62 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 52 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.005
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.65.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.542
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.65
→
Conviction
0.41
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.41 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26