JabilShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Bearish
News led a bearish call; the other agents split, so conviction reflects the disagreement.
Coverage
4/7
Agreement
0.75
.75
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📰
News Driver
Recent sentiment 0.40 vs 120d baseline 1.00 across 1 story.
−0.285
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 9.7 (falling -6.8 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.190
▸Industry Index falling -6.8 [no link]−0.13515%
Industry Index level 9.7 [no link]−0.0556%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.190
📉
Price momentum Bearish
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.14, confidence 0.19 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.027
▸Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0202%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0061%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0051%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0030%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0020%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0020%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0010%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0010%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0010%
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0000%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0000%
ADX 15 (trend strength 0.39) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.57 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 49 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.027
⚖️
Options positioning Bearish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 42% / put 58% (net skew -0.17), unusualness 33/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 5 days.
−0.011
▸1 item(s) · sums to -0.011
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; news dissented. Directional agreement 0.75.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.513
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.75
→
Conviction
0.75
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.75 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26