JCET GroupShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Bearish
Structural led a bearish call; the other agents split, so conviction reflects the disagreement.
Coverage
2/7
Agreement
0.50
.24
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 8.3 (falling -7.8 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.332
Industry Index falling -7.8 [no link]−0.24237%
Industry Index level 8.3 [no link]−0.08914%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.332
📉
Price momentum Bearish
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.47, confidence 0.40 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.305
▸Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.06410%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0589%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0487%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0294%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0264%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0223%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0173%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0162%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0162%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0152%
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0071%
ADX 19 (trend strength 0.48) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.05 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 35 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.305
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
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⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
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Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.50.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.637
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.50
→
Conviction
0.24
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.24 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26