How the signal is computed

Kioxia HoldingsShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral

News set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a positive tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.

Coverage

3/7

Agreement

0.25

.00

Conviction

How the swarm reasoned

✓Question›✓Coverage›✓Driver›✓Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict

📰

News Bullish

Recent sentiment 0.30 vs 120d baseline 0.29 across 1 story.

+0.008

▸

Applied Materials and Kioxia partner on next-generation AI memory [src]+0.15930%

Kioxia and SanDisk to invest more than $31 billion in Japan NAND production [src]−0.13225%

Western Digital (WDC) Reopens Kioxia Merger Talks With NAND Memory In Focus [src]−0.0459%

Toshiba cuts stake in Kioxia Holdings Corp to 12.84% from 14.06%, filing shows [src]+0.0153%

Kioxia Holdings says SK Hynix tie-up not happening [src]+0.0112%

5 item(s) · sums to +0.008

📉

Price momentum Driver

Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.18, confidence 0.19 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).

+0.039

Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0387%

Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0224%

Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0112%

Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0112%

OBV (short) [no link]−0.0051%

ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0031%

Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0010%

RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0010%

Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0000%

MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0000%

MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0000%

ADX 10 (trend strength 0.26) [no link]0.0000%

Bollinger %B 0.55 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%

RSI 52 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%

14 item(s) · sums to +0.039

🧭

Structural Bearish

Industry Index 21.4 (rising 1.0 over window) — structural headwind.

−0.021

▸

Industry Index level 21.4 [no link]−0.0438%

Industry Index rising 1.0 [no link]+0.0224%

2 item(s) · sums to -0.021

⚖️

Options positioning Abstained

no liquid options snapshot

—

📈

Growth Abstained

Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.

—

🏦

Smart money Abstained

13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.

—

🏰

Moat Abstained

The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.

—

Consensus · did they agree?

Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.25.

The gate · score → conviction → verdict

Raw score

+0.025

Agree·cover·strength

0.25

→

Conviction

0.00

A mildly-positive score, but weak agreement — so the engine returns a no-conviction Neutral rather than overclaim. This is the system refusing to force a call it doesn’t have.

as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26

Signal history

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How the signal is computed — Kioxia Holdings

Signal history