MediaTekShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Neutral
News set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a negative tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.33
.13
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📰
News Driver
Recent sentiment 0.10 vs 120d baseline 1.00 across 1 story.
−0.440
🧭
Structural Bullish
Industry Index 14.1 (rising 12.2 over window) — structural tailwind.
+0.113
▸Industry Index rising 12.2 [no link]+0.16318%
Industry Index level 14.1 [no link]−0.0506%
2 item(s) · sums to +0.113
📉
Price momentum Bullish
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.13, confidence 0.26 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.037
▸Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0495%
Momentum (medium) [no link]+0.0283%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0172%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0132%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0091%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0081%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0071%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0051%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0040%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0020%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0000%
ADX 32 (trend strength 0.80) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.35 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 50 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.037
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; news dissented. Directional agreement 0.33.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.290
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.33
→
Conviction
0.13
A clear neutral score; conviction 0.13 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26