Modine ManufacturingShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Bearish
Structural carried this call — it supplied almost the entire lean; the other voters nearly net out.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.58
.36
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 7.6 (falling -8.6 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.422
Industry Index falling -8.6 [no link]−0.30947%
Industry Index level 7.6 [no link]−0.11317%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.422
📉
Price momentum Bearish
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.41, confidence 0.21 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.175
▸Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]−0.07311%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0437%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0264%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0183%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0112%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0091%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0081%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0051%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0030%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0000%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0000%
ADX 13 (trend strength 0.33) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.30 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 45 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.175
⚖️
Options positioning Bullish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 77% / put 23% (net skew 0.53), unusualness 21/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 6 days.
+0.041
▸1 item(s) · sums to +0.041
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.58.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.556
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.58
→
Conviction
0.36
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.36 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26