Montage TechnologyShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral
Structural set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a negative tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
2/7
Agreement
0.43
.18
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 12.4 (falling -6.7 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.436
Industry Index falling -6.7 [no link]−0.31553%
Industry Index level 12.4 [no link]−0.12221%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.436
📉
Price momentum Bullish
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.07, confidence 0.19 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.031
▸Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0468%
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0386%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0183%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0142%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0112%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0091%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0061%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0051%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0020%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0020%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0010%
ADX 13 (trend strength 0.33) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.54 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 48 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.031
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.43.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.406
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.43
→
Conviction
0.18
A clear neutral score; conviction 0.18 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26