Tokyo ElectronShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral
News set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a positive tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.25
.00
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›✓Driver›✓Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📰
News Bullish
Recent sentiment 0.10 vs 120d baseline 0.00 across 1 story.
+0.053
▸Announcement Regarding Establishment of Sponsored ADR (American Depositary Receipt) Program [src]+0.05318%
1 item(s) · sums to +0.053
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 12.8 (falling -5.1 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.167
Industry Index falling -5.1 [no link]−0.11137%
Industry Index level 12.8 [no link]−0.05619%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.167
📉
Price momentum Bullish
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.10, confidence 0.20 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.023
▸Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0227%
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0145%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0134%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0103%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0062%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0062%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0031%
Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0031%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0021%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0010%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0000%
ADX 12 (trend strength 0.30) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.58 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 49 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.023
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.25.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.091
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.25
→
Conviction
0.00
A mildly-negative score, but weak agreement — so the engine returns a no-conviction Neutral rather than overclaim. This is the system refusing to force a call it doesn’t have.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26