foundry & packaging · Industry Index 9 (rank #149) · $56.90 (-5.70%) · mkt cap $13.5B
ⓘ Data freshness
price: as of 2026-09-30 index: as of 2026-10-07 fundamentals: latest filing 2026-06-30 Reports quarterly (financials via Yahoo Finance; not SEC-registered)
Tongfu Microelectronics is a Chinese OSAT and AMD's largest assembly-and-test partner, providing advanced chiplet and 2.5D packaging.
Industry exposure 0.4 (Tongfu is AMD's largest assembly-and-test supplier (~half of its revenue) and packages AMD's AI accelerators/CPUs via advanced chiplet packaging, giving it high AI-compute leverage.)
Signal
signal: as of 2026-10-05
Short (~2 weeks)
24%
Bearish
Conviction 24
▼Price momentum— Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.26, confidence 0.20 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
▼Structural— Industry Index 7.9 (falling -8.1 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally
Medium (~3 months)
0%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 0
▲Growth trend— Revenue 30% YoY (accelerating), net margin expanding.[filing: revenue 2026Q2 vs 2025Q2]
▼Price momentum— Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.26, confidence 0.20 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
▼Structural— Industry Index 7.9 (falling -8.1 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally
Long (~6 months)
0%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 0
▲Growth trend— Revenue 30% YoY (accelerating), net margin expanding.[filing: revenue 2026Q2 vs 2025Q2]
▼Structural— Industry Index 7.9 (falling -8.1 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally
AMD — customer · 50% dependency · Tongfu Microelectronics is AMD's largest assembly-and-test supplier, with AMD accounting for roughly 50% of Tongfu's revenue after Tongfu acquired AMD's Suzhou and Penang back-end plants. source: semimedia.cc
JCET Group — competitor · Tongfu Microelectronics and JCET are China's leading OSAT providers, competing in advanced packaging for AI and HPC chips. source: marketresearchreports.com
Unusual options activity needs a US-listed instrument; this company has none.
Tongfu MicroelectronicsShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Bearish
Structural carried this call — it supplied almost the entire lean; the other voters nearly net out.
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
no vote
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
no vote
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
no vote
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.50.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.622
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.50
→
Conviction
0.24
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.24 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26
Signal history
No moat profile yet. The durable competitive advantage — moat, leadership, and pricing power — is curated for flagship names first; Tongfu Microelectronics isn't covered yet. Nothing here is fabricated in its absence.
Signal contribution
The moat prior — a subjective, non-backtested editorial input — only nudges the long (~6-month) horizon, and it isn't scoring Tongfu Microelectronics yet (no long-horizon signal has been computed for this name). Nothing here is fabricated in its absence.
What you're looking at
These charts plot Tongfu Microelectronics's reported income statement, cash flow, and balance sheet from its SEC filings through 2026-06-30. Every figure is as-filed XBRL — none of it is an estimate.
Over the reported window, revenue grew 30% to $4.0B (FY2022→FY2025); gross margin moved 14% → 15%; net income at $174.2M in FY2025.
Analyst consensus — third-party estimates from Yahoo Finance, as of 2026-10-06. Not SEC filings and not a TradingPilot forecast. source: finance.yahoo.com
Period
EPS (est.)
Revenue (est.)
YoY
FY 2026
CNY 1.05 (CNY 0.97–CNY 1.13) · 6
CNY 32.9B (CNY 32.3B–CNY 34.3B) · 6
+18%
Each figure shows the consensus mean, its (low–high) range where available, and · the number of analysts behind that estimate.
Our model leans Low-confidence · Neutral on the stock over the medium horizon — a market-direction call, not an earnings forecast. See the Signal tab.
Income statement
Cash flow & liquidity
Balance sheet
Some recent figures are from Yahoo Finance where the latest SEC filing hasn’t posted yet — FX-converted to USD and reconciled against SEC-filed periods.
Passive index filers are not gurus. Their 13F changes are index flows, and they are excluded from TradingPilot’s smart-money signal.
Quant caveat. A quant filer’s 13F (e.g. Renaissance) is a long-only quarter-end snapshot and does NOT reflect its actual high-turnover, short-horizon strategy.
Guru pages and holdings never feed a signal (weightless).
