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AppLovin — 2026Q3 earnings

reported 2026-08-05

EPS $3.76 vs $3.74 est — beat

Revenue $1.9B vs $1.9B est — miss

next session -19.7% (close 2026-08-05 → 2026-08-06)

Source

8-K filing ↗

Summary

A miss against the company’s own guidance, explained as timing inside its own R&D rather than demand. Revenue still grew better than 50% year over year and landed just below the midpoint of the guidance range; Adjusted EBITDA landed just below its range; free-cash-flow conversion ran below the company’s normal cadence on international cash-tax and interest timing, and the buyback was deliberately slowed because of it. Management did not dress that up — the CEO said outright that the company fell short of the standard it holds itself to. The cause he gave is the engine the whole growth story runs on: the quarter’s crop of advertising-model improvements was lighter than usual, and the next step-up landed just after the quarter closed. Nothing management reported points to weaker advertiser demand, though that reading is management’s own observation rather than an outside measurement. What is left for a reader to judge is cadence — whether model uplift arrives reliably enough to underwrite a guide built only on improvements already live.

Earnings call

Earnings call webcast ↗

Transcript ↗

Review

From the report

The release is a bare numbers document — no commentary, no management quote, and no comparison against the guidance the company had set for the quarter, so nothing in it marks this as a shortfall. Every line of the highlights table grew sharply against a year earlier, and the quarter’s cash story appears only as figures: operating cash flow, free cash flow, and what the buyback cost. Why free cash flow converted the way it did, and why the buyback was the size it was, are answered on the call and nowhere in the release.

  • The row keyed 2026Q3 is AppLovin's second quarter: the release covers the quarter ended June 30, 2026. show quote
    “today announced financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026”
    source ↗
  • Diluted EPS was $3.76 (basic $3.77) — the line behind the site's beat verdict. show quote
    “Basic and Diluted earnings per share ("EPS") were $3.77 and $3.76, respectively, for the second quarter 2026.”
    source ↗
  • Almost all of the quarter’s operating cash flow carried through to free cash flow: $869.0 million of operating cash flow against $863.3 million of free cash flow. The release states both as bare figures, with nothing to compare them against. show quote
    “Net cash from operating activities was $869.0 million and Free Cash Flow was $863.3 million for the second quarter 2026.”
    source ↗
  • The release states the buyback as a bare figure — 1.1 million Class A shares repurchased and withheld for $551.3 million — and gives no indication that the pace had been deliberately slowed, which management disclosed only on the call. show quote
    “During the second quarter 2026, we repurchased and withheld 1.1 million shares of our Class A common stock, for a total cost of $551.3 million”
    source ↗

From the call

Management’s answer is timing inside its own R&D, not demand: the quarter’s model improvement was lighter than normal and the next step-up landed just after the quarter closed. The shortfall is named plainly and measured against the company’s own guidance rather than any outside estimate. The CFO tied two of the quarter’s softer lines together — free-cash-flow conversion below normal cadence on international cash-tax and interest timing, and a buyback moderated in consideration of it. The third-quarter guide leans on the model improvement already live and explicitly assumes nothing beyond it.

  • The benchmark the shortfall is measured against is the company’s own guidance, not an outside estimate: the CEO opened by putting revenue just below the midpoint of the guidance range and Adjusted EBITDA just below its range, and said the company fell short of its own standard. show quote
    “This quarter, we delivered almost $2 billion in revenue, which was just below the midpoint of our guidance range, and our Adjusted EBITDA was just below the range. We’ve always managed this business with the goal of outperforming our own expectations. And this quarter, we fell short of that standard.”
    source ↗
  • The CFO put second-quarter revenue at $1.92 billion, up 53% year over year and 4% sequentially, from core gaming plus the scaling consumer vertical. show quote
    “we still delivered second quarter revenue of $1.92 billion – growing 53% year-over-year and 4% sequentially – driven by the core gaming business and continued scaling in the consumer vertical.”
    source ↗
  • Management’s stated cause of the soft top line is timing in its own model development, not the market: improvement was lighter than normal in the quarter and the next step-up arrived just after it ended. show quote
    “This quarter came down to timing. Our pace of meaningful model improvement was lighter than normal during the quarter and the next step-up in model performance landed just after quarter end.”
    source ↗
  • The CEO’s demand disclaimer is observational rather than a denial: he said nothing the company saw suggested weakening advertiser demand or a change in the competitive environment, and pointed to double-digit quarter-over-quarter growth in Max publisher earnings and a consistent share of publisher waterfalls. show quote
    “Importantly, nothing we saw suggested weakening advertiser demand or a change in the competitive environment. In fact, Max publisher earnings grew double digits quarter-over-quarter, and our share of publisher waterfalls remained consistent.”
    source ↗
  • With the delayed improvements now live, the CEO said the business is reaccelerating into a seasonally stronger stretch — the claim the third-quarter guide rests on. show quote
    “With those improvements now live and heading into what is a seasonally stronger part of the year, the business is reaccelerating.”
    source ↗
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew to a bit over $1.6 billion, up more than 50% year over year, but landed below the guided range — which management attributes to deliberate technology investment rather than a cost overrun. show quote
    “Now on EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA grew to a bit over $1.6 billion, up more than 50% year-over-year. While this result lands just below our guidance range, the incremental investments were exactly where we believe they should be: in our technology.”
    source ↗
  • Free cash flow conversion was below the company’s normal cadence, which the CFO attributes to the timing of international cash tax and interest payments and expects to normalize to roughly 75% of Adjusted EBITDA for the full year. show quote
    “Free cash flow for the quarter was $863 million. As I previewed on last quarter’s call, conversion was below our normal cadence in the second quarter due to the timing of international cash tax and interest payments. This is a timing dynamic, not a change in the earnings power of our business. We expect free cash flow conversion to improve in the third quarter and to normalize to roughly 75% of Adjusted EBITDA for the full year.”
    source ↗
  • The buyback was deliberately slowed: the CFO said the pace was moderated against the roughly $1 billion deployed in the first quarter in consideration of the quarter’s lower free cash flow, while calling it no change in conviction. show quote
    “Our choice to moderate the pace of our buybacks this quarter relative to the roughly $1 billion we deployed in the first quarter reflects consideration of our lower free cash flow during the quarter and does not indicate a change in conviction or in how we intend to use the authorization going forward.”
    source ↗
  • Consumer was the quarter’s standout: advertiser spend set a record at 28% above Q4 2025, which the CEO framed against Q4 being the seasonal peak for those advertisers. show quote
    “Now, let me talk about consumer, which had an outstanding quarter. Advertiser spend set another record, finishing 28% above Q4 2025 levels. And remember, Q4 is the seasonal peak for these advertisers.”
    source ↗
  • Third-quarter guidance is $2.055 billion to $2.085 billion of revenue, 46% to 48% year-over-year growth. show quote
    “We expect revenue between $2.055 billion and $2.085 billion, representing 46% to 48% year-over-year growth, or 7% to 8% sequentially.”
    source ↗
  • That guide is built only on model improvements already live plus the higher compute costs, and assumes no further model releases — the conservatism a reader should weigh against the reacceleration the CEO described. show quote
    “That outlook reflects the model improvements that are already live and performing, continued scaling in our consumer vertical, normal seasonality, and the higher training and compute costs I mentioned. It does not assume additional model releases that have not yet been deployed.”
    source ↗
  • The call carried disclosure the earnings release did not: management said the reported SEC inquiry was a voluntary request and that the SEC advised it concluded with no recommended action. show quote
    “We continue to get questions on the reported SEC inquiry, so let me close the loop. It was a voluntary request, which we never deemed material. The SEC has recently advised us that it concluded its inquiry with no recommended action. We’re pleased to have it resolved.”
    source ↗