Skip to content

← Visa

Visa — 2026Q3 earnings

reported 2026-07-28

EPS $3.32 vs $3.23 est — beat

next session +0.6% (close 2026-07-28 → 2026-07-29)

Source

8-K filing ↗

Summary

Visa's fiscal third quarter beat on the adjusted line, and the interesting part of the report is what sits between the two EPS figures. The $3.32 non-GAAP number excludes $563 million of severance the prior-year quarter's special-item list does not contain, and the release's stated reason for it is operational efficiency and reinvestment in high-growth opportunities. The call turns that from a cost item into a strategy: the CEO described reforming product development teams of ten or more into agentic AI squads of two to four, introduced role eliminations concentrated in technology and product as flowing from those same changes in how the company works, and the CFO then tied the $563 million charge to that discussion by name. What management did not supply is the other half of the arithmetic — asked whether the savings would be reinvested or reach the bottom line, no savings figure was given. On the revenue side the quarter's own tension is that international transaction revenue grew 6% while the cross-border volume the release says drives it grew 12%, which the CFO attributed to lapping last year's volatility peak and to mix, and forward guidance embeds a volatility drag larger than the one carried before.

Earnings call

Transcript ↗

Review

From the report

The $3.32 in the header is the non-GAAP figure; GAAP earnings per share were $2.97, and the largest item between them is $563 million of severance — a special item the prior-year quarter's list does not contain. Net revenue grew 14%, but the four revenue lines pulled apart underneath it: data processing up 17% and other revenue up 45% against international transaction revenue up 6%, the line the release itself says cross-border volume drives.

  • The $3.32 the header carries is the non-GAAP figure. GAAP earnings per share were $2.97 on GAAP net income of $5.6 billion, and the gap is built from the quarter's special items: $563 million of severance costs, a $237 million litigation provision for the interchange multidistrict litigation and an $18 million deferred tax benefit. The prior-year quarter's list of special items names a $615 million litigation provision and no severance at all. show quote
    “GAAP net income in the fiscal third quarter was $5.6 billion or $2.97 per share, an increase of 7% and 10%, respectively, over prior year’s results. Current year's results included special items of $563 million for severance costs, $237 million for a litigation provision associated with the interchange multidistrict litigation ("MDL") case and $18 million for a deferred tax benefit recognized due to a change in the U.S. taxation of certain foreign earnings. Current year's results also included $9 million of net losses from equity investments and $78 million from the amortization of acquired intangible assets and acquisition-related costs. Prior year's results included a special item of $615 million for a litigation provision associated with the MDL case and other legal matters, $35 million of net losses from equity investments and $73 million from the amortization of acquired intangible assets and acquisition-related costs. Excluding these items and related tax impacts, non-GAAP net income for the quarter was $6.3 billion or $3.32 per share, increases of 8% and 11%, respectively, over prior year’s results (refer to Non-GAAP Financial Measures for further details).”
    source ↗
  • Net revenue was $11.6 billion, up 14% and 13% on a constant-dollar basis, which the release attributes to year-over-year growth in payments volume, cross-border volume and processed transactions. show quote
    “Net revenue in the fiscal third quarter was $11.6 billion, an increase of 14%, driven by the year-over-year growth in payments volume, cross-border volume and processed transactions. Net revenue increased 13% on a constant-dollar basis.”
    source ↗
  • The release itself names cross-border volume excluding intra-Europe as the thing that drives international transaction revenue. That volume rose 12% on a constant-dollar basis, total cross-border volume rose 13%, and processed transactions were 71.7 billion, a 10% increase. show quote
    “Cross-border volume excluding transactions within Europe, which drives our international transaction revenue, for the three months ended June 30, 2026, increased 12% on a constant-dollar basis over the prior year. Total cross-border volume on a constant-dollar basis increased 13% over the prior year. Total processed transactions, which represent transactions processed by Visa, for the three months ended June 30, 2026, were 71.7 billion, a 10% increase over the prior year.”
    source ↗
  • The four revenue lines pulled apart sharply. Data processing revenue rose 17% to $6.0 billion and other revenue rose 45% to $1.5 billion, while international transaction revenue grew 6% to $3.9 billion — the slowest of the four. Service revenue was $4.9 billion, up 14%, and client incentives were $4.7 billion, up 18%. show quote
    “Fiscal third quarter service revenue was $4.9 billion, an increase of 14% over the prior year, and is recognized based on payments volume in the prior quarter. All other revenue categories are recognized based on current quarter activity. Data processing revenue rose 17% over the prior year to $6.0 billion. International transaction revenue grew 6% over the prior year to $3.9 billion. Other revenue of $1.5 billion rose 45% over the prior year. Client incentives were $4.7 billion, up 18% over the prior year.”
    source ↗
  • The release gives its own reason for the severance, recorded inside personnel expense: actions taken to drive operational efficiencies and reinvest in high-growth opportunities, excluded from the non-GAAP figures as not representative of ongoing operations. The periods it names are worth reading closely — the three and nine months ended June 30, 2026 and the nine months ended June 30, 2025, but not the prior-year quarter itself. show quote
    “Severance costs. For the three and nine months ended June 30, 2026, and nine months ended June 30, 2025, we recorded severance costs within personnel expense resulting from actions taken to drive operational efficiencies and reinvest in high-growth opportunities. These costs have been excluded as they are not representative of our ongoing operations.”
    source ↗
  • GAAP operating expenses were $4.8 billion, a 19% increase the release attributes primarily to higher personnel expenses. Stripping out the special items and acquisition-related amortization, non-GAAP operating expenses still rose 17%, attributed primarily to increases in marketing and personnel expenses. show quote
    “GAAP operating expenses were $4.8 billion for the fiscal third quarter, a 19% increase over the prior year's results, primarily driven by an increase in personnel expenses. GAAP operating expenses included the special items as well as the amortization of acquired intangible assets and acquisition-related costs in the current and prior year. Excluding these items, non-GAAP operating expenses increased 17% over the prior year, primarily driven by increases in marketing and personnel expenses.”
    source ↗
  • Two separate actions cut the share count. Visa repurchased approximately 14.5 million class A shares at an average cost of $330.71 per share for $4.9 billion, leaving $28.4 billion of authorization; separately it deposited $250 million into its litigation escrow account, which the release says has the same economic effect on earnings per share as repurchasing class A stock because it reduced the as-converted class B share counts at a volume-weighted average price of $333.42. show quote
    “On June 25, 2026, Visa deposited $250 million into its litigation escrow account, which was previously established under the Company’s U.S. retrospective responsibility plan to insulate the Company and class A common stockholders from financial liability for certain litigation cases. This deposit has the same economic effect on earnings per share as repurchasing the Company's class A common stock as it reduced each of the as-converted class B-1 common stock, class B-2 common stock and class B-3 common stock share counts at a volume-weighted average price of $333.42. During the three months ended June 30, 2026, Visa repurchased approximately 14.5 million shares of class A common stock at an average cost of $330.71 per share for $4.9 billion. The Company had $28.4 billion of remaining authorized funds for share repurchases as of June 30, 2026.”
    source ↗

From the call

Management used the call to make the AI story an operating story rather than a product story: agentic squads of two to four replacing product teams of ten or more, role eliminations concentrated in technology and product presented as flowing from the same shift, and the CFO explicitly attaching the quarter's $563 million severance charge to those changes. Asked what the savings are worth, the CEO answered with reinvestment opportunities and no number. Underneath, guidance assumes a volatility drag larger than the one previously incorporated.

  • The CEO put specific numbers on Visa's internal agentic-AI tooling, saying product development teams that used to be ten or more are being reformed into agentic squads of two to four, and claiming for teams on the agentic toolchain 80% more code commits, an 80%-plus improvement in requirement definition from 30 days to 5 days, and 65%-plus faster feature development. show quote
    “As a result of the unlocks we can realize with this new tooling, we are reforming our product development teams that used to be ten or more into smaller and more nimble agentic squads of two to four. And the results are meaningful for those teams that are using the agentic toolchain, with 80% more code commits and an 80%-plus improvement in requirement definition from 30 days to 5 days, which has translated to 65%-plus faster feature development.”
    source ↗
  • The CEO framed the job cuts as a consequence of that same shift rather than as a separate cost action, saying changes in the way Visa works and where it invests also impact how it operates the company, and then announcing role eliminations with the majority in the technology and product teams. show quote
    “Changes in the way we work and where we invest also impact how we operate the company. Today, we announced that we are eliminating roles, with the majority being in our technology and product teams, to ensure that we are continuing to position Visa for future growth.”
    source ↗
  • The CFO tied the reported charge to exactly those changes, describing the $563 million of severance in the GAAP results as related to changes to the workforce including the ones the CEO had just discussed, with the savings to be reinvested in the company's highest potential growth opportunities. show quote
    “In our GAAP results, we had $563 million in severance costs related to changes to our workforce, including those that Ryan discussed, as we continue to focus on driving efficiency across the company and reinvest those savings in our highest potential growth opportunities.”
    source ↗
  • An analyst asked directly whether the savings from the workforce reductions would be reinvested or dropped to the bottom line, and over what period they would pay back. The CEO answered with the breadth of Visa's investment opportunities and its track record of redirecting efficiency savings; he put no figure on the savings and gave no split, and no savings number appears anywhere on the call. show quote
    “Hey, it's Ryan. Let me just start, and then Chris, feel free to add or correct or not. The investments that we have in front of us are enormous. I think what we've shown over the last couple years is that we can drive efficiencies. We can take the savings that we generate from those efficiencies, and we can invest those savings against the strategic levers that we laid out and our strategy at our Investor Day and deliver accelerated performance as a result. And we continue to feel good about the opportunities ahead of us.”
    source ↗
  • The CFO addressed the gap between cross-border volume and the revenue it drives in the prepared remarks rather than waiting to be asked: international transaction revenue up 6% against a 12% constant-dollar increase in cross-border volume excluding intra-Europe, which he attributed primarily to lapping last year's currency volatility peak and to mix. show quote
    “International transaction revenue was up 6%, below the 12% increase in constant dollar cross-border volume growth, excluding intra-Europe, primarily due to lapping the currency volatility peak last year and mix.”
    source ↗
  • Value-added services revenue grew 34% year-over-year in constant dollars to $3.8 billion. The CFO named three drivers: underlying business drivers including marketing services engagements related to FIFA, pricing, and the acquisition of Prisma. show quote
    “Value-added services revenue grew 34% year-over-year in constant dollars to $3.8 billion, primarily due to three factors: one, underlying business drivers, which included strength in marketing services engagements related to FIFA; two, pricing; and three, the acquisition of Prisma.”
    source ↗
  • The AI claim reached the revenue line as well as the cost line. The CFO said Visa increased the velocity of its consulting projects through the help of AI, delivering 1,200 consulting projects in the quarter for over 700 clients across 100-plus countries and territories — more, he said, than it delivered in all of 2019. show quote
    “For our advisory and other portfolio, in addition to the strong marketing services revenue growth, we've also increased the velocity of our consulting projects through the help of AI. Just this past quarter alone, for over 700 clients across 100-plus countries and territories, we delivered 1,200 consulting projects, which is more than we delivered for all of 2019.”
    source ↗
  • Guidance is given on an adjusted growth basis the CFO defined as non-GAAP results in constant dollars excluding acquisition impacts. On that basis Q4 net revenue growth is guided to the high end of low-double-digits, and the volatility assumption underneath moved against the company: current levels are assumed to persist, which the CFO said implies more of a drag than was incorporated previously. show quote
    “As we move to our guidance, let me remind you that it is on an adjusted growth basis defined as non-GAAP results in constant dollars and excluding acquisition impacts. You can review these disclosures in our earnings presentation for more detail. Now, moving to Q4 and the full-year financial expectations. We expect Q4 net revenue growth in the high end of low-double-digits, similar to Q3 on an adjusted basis. For drivers, we are assuming that the broader consumer spend stability continues from a macro perspective and our overall drivers remain resilient and strong. On volatility, we are assuming that current levels which are generally in line with Q1, persist, implying more of a drag than was incorporated previously.”
    source ↗
  • For the full year, on that same adjusted basis, the CFO guided net revenue growth to the low end of low-teens, operating expense growth to the low end of low-teens, non-operating expense to about $165 million, the tax rate to between 18% and 18.25%, and EPS growth to the low end of mid-teens. show quote
    “We expect full-year net revenue growth to now be in the low end of low-teens. We expect full-year operating expense growth in the low end of low-teens. Non-operating expense for the full year is expected to be about $165 million. Our tax rate for the full year is expected to be between 18% and 18.25%. As a result, we expect full-year EPS growth to now be in the low end of mid-teens.”
    source ↗