ASM InternationalShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral
News set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a positive tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.32
.13
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📰
News Bullish
Recent sentiment 0.40 vs 120d baseline 0.00 across 1 story.
+0.175
▸ASM launches breakthrough Flowable Carbon technology for the next era of semiconductor scaling [src]+0.17530%
1 item(s) · sums to +0.175
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.74, confidence 0.38 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.264
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.06211%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0417%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0356%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0336%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0275%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0163%
Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0153%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0132%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0092%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0081%
Momentum (medium) [no link]+0.0051%
ADX 17 (trend strength 0.42) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.96 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 66 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.264
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 12.2 (falling -5.7 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.152
▸Industry Index falling -5.7 [no link]−0.10518%
Industry Index level 12.2 [no link]−0.0478%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.152
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.32.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
+0.287
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.32
→
Conviction
0.13
A clear neutral score; conviction 0.13 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26