ASM InternationalShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Neutral
News set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a positive tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.11
.00
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›✓Driver›✓Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📰
News Driver
Recent sentiment 0.40 vs 120d baseline 0.00 across 1 story.
+0.198
ASM launches breakthrough Flowable Carbon technology for the next era of semiconductor scaling [src]+0.19844%
1 item(s) · sums to +0.198
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 12.2 (falling -5.7 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.172
▸Industry Index falling -5.7 [no link]−0.11926%
Industry Index level 12.2 [no link]−0.05412%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.172
📉
Price momentum Bullish
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.16, confidence 0.25 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.043
▸Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0378%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0112%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0092%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0071%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0051%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0041%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0031%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0031%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0020%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0010%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0000%
ADX 15 (trend strength 0.38) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.57 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 51 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.043
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.11.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
+0.069
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.11
→
Conviction
0.00
A mildly-positive score, but weak agreement — so the engine returns a no-conviction Neutral rather than overclaim. This is the system refusing to force a call it doesn’t have.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26