How the signal is computed

BroadcomShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-13Neutral

News set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a negative tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.

Coverage

4/7

Agreement

0.67

.19

Conviction

How the swarm reasoned

✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict

📰

News Driver

Recent sentiment 0.06 vs 120d baseline 0.36 across 3 stories.

−0.168

China surveys Broadcom switch use in state data centers, FT reports [src]−0.06812%

Arista launches open Ethernet rack-scale architectures for scale-up and scale-out AI fabrics [src]+0.0549%

Apple Plans to Spend $30 Billion in a Deal With Broadcom (AVGO) – Reuters [src]−0.0509%

Banks begin syndicating Broadcom-backed debt for Anthropic's chip lease [src]+0.0508%

Samsung Electronics and Broadcom Expand Strategic Collaboration Across Memory and Foundry Technologies [src]−0.0386%

Broadcom Q3 FY2026: revenue $29.6B up 86%, AI semiconductor revenue $16.7B up 221% [src]−0.0386%

Broadcom secures role as key Apple supplier with chip deal through 2031 [src]−0.0356%

Broadcom and OpenAI Unveil Jalapeño: An Early Step to Massive AI Growth Potential [src]−0.0305%

Apple to increase spend with Broadcom to produce billions more U.S. chips [src]−0.0203%

Broadcom (AVGO) Faces EU Antitrust Review Over VMware Licensing Changes [src]+0.0193%

OpenAI Built an Nvidia-Beating Inference Chip in Nine Months. Broadcom (AVGO) Helped Make It Happen [src]−0.0153%

Broadcom's VMware Curbs Face Fresh EU Antitrust Scrutiny [src]+0.0153%

Qualcomm Rises 5% on Multi-Generation Amazon AI Silicon Deal [src]−0.0112%

Broadcom (AVGO) Backs DriveNets Tomahawk 6 Push For Open Ethernet AI Data Centers [src]−0.0112%

T-Mobile moving tens of thousands of virtual machines off VMware amid lawsuit [src]+0.0112%

15 item(s) · sums to -0.168

🧭

Structural Bearish

Industry Index 29.5 (falling -2.8 over window) — structural headwind.

−0.063

▸

Industry Index falling -2.8 [no link]−0.0427%

Industry Index level 29.5 [no link]−0.0214%

2 item(s) · sums to -0.063

📉

Price momentum Bearish

Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.09, confidence 0.23 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).

−0.017

▸

Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]−0.0092%

Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0081%

Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0061%

MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0051%

OBV (short) [no link]+0.0051%

MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0041%

ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0031%

Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0020%

Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0020%

RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0010%

Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0000%

ADX 16 (trend strength 0.41) [no link]0.0000%

Bollinger %B 0.52 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%

RSI 48 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%

14 item(s) · sums to -0.017

⚖️

Options positioning Bullish

Delayed per-contract options — call premium 65% / put 35% (net skew 0.29), unusualness 34/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 1 day.

+0.014

▸

Unusual-activity net skew [src]+0.0142%

1 item(s) · sums to +0.014

📈

Growth Abstained

Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.

—

🏦

Smart money Abstained

13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.

—

🏰

Moat Abstained

The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.

—

Consensus · did they agree?

Most voters leaned one way; news dissented. Directional agreement 0.67.

The gate · score → conviction → verdict

Raw score

−0.234

Agree·cover·strength

0.67

→

Conviction

0.19

A clear neutral score; conviction 0.19 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.

as of 2026-10-13 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26

Signal history

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How the signal is computed — Broadcom

Signal history