Axcelis TechnologiesShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Neutral
Price momentum set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a positive tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.10
.00
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›✓Driver›✓Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.48, confidence 0.57 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.309
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.11317%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.06510%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0487%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0437%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0386%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0294%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0173%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0162%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0132%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0071%
Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0071%
ADX 28 (trend strength 0.69) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.70 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 57 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.309
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 5.3 (falling -10.1 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.243
▸Industry Index falling -10.1 [no link]−0.17627%
Industry Index level 5.3 [no link]−0.06710%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.243
⚖️
Options positioning Bullish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 64% / put 36% (net skew 0.28), unusualness 29/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 5 days.
+0.017
▸1 item(s) · sums to +0.017
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.10.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
+0.084
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.10
→
Conviction
0.00
A mildly-positive score, but weak agreement — so the engine returns a no-conviction Neutral rather than overclaim. This is the system refusing to force a call it doesn’t have.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26