BaiduShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Bearish
Price momentum led a bearish call; the other agents split, so conviction reflects the disagreement.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.61
.38
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
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Price momentum Driver
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.47, confidence 0.42 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.268
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]−0.10018%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.05710%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0346%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0214%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0143%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0132%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0132%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0112%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0092%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0030%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0020%
ADX 23 (trend strength 0.57) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.27 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 39 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.268
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 9.9 (falling -6.8 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.251
▸Industry Index falling -6.8 [no link]−0.17932%
Industry Index level 9.9 [no link]−0.07213%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.251
⚖️
Options positioning Bullish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 65% / put 35% (net skew 0.29), unusualness 31/100. No known catalyst (unexplained — not proof of informed trading).
+0.022
▸1 item(s) · sums to +0.022
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
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Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; price momentum dissented. Directional agreement 0.61.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.496
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.61
→
Conviction
0.38
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.38 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26