CelesticaShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral
Price momentum set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a positive tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.28
.07
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.68, confidence 0.50 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.419
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.10717%
Momentum (medium) [no link]+0.06110%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.06110%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0467%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0305%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0244%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0244%
Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0223%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0162%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0152%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0122%
ADX 22 (trend strength 0.56) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.89 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 63 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.419
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 12.1 (falling -5.4 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.187
▸Industry Index falling -5.4 [no link]−0.12620%
Industry Index level 12.1 [no link]−0.0619%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.187
⚖️
Options positioning Bullish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 78% / put 22% (net skew 0.55), unusualness 31/100. No known catalyst (unexplained — not proof of informed trading).
+0.039
▸1 item(s) · sums to +0.039
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.28.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
+0.271
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.28
→
Conviction
0.07
A clear neutral score; conviction 0.07 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26