CelesticaShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Bearish
News carried this call — it supplied almost the entire lean; the other voters nearly net out.
Coverage
4/7
Agreement
0.52
.52
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📰
News Driver
Recent sentiment -0.30 vs 120d baseline 0.60 across 1 story.
−0.401
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 11.4 (falling -6.1 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.163
▸Industry Index falling -6.1 [no link]−0.11417%
Industry Index level 11.4 [no link]−0.0497%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.163
📉
Price momentum Bullish
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.32, confidence 0.28 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.087
▸Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0477%
Momentum (medium) [no link]+0.0172%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0152%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0081%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0071%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0030%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0030%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0020%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0020%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0010%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0010%
ADX 19 (trend strength 0.49) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.57 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 53 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.087
⚖️
Options positioning Bullish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 67% / put 33% (net skew 0.33), unusualness 25/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 5 days.
+0.015
▸1 item(s) · sums to +0.015
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; news dissented. Directional agreement 0.52.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.463
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.52
→
Conviction
0.52
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.52 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26