Cipher MiningShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Bearish
Price momentum led a bearish call; the other agents split, so conviction reflects the disagreement.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.67
.42
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.74, confidence 0.31 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.370
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]−0.08812%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0507%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0507%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0385%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0355%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0284%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0223%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0203%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0152%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0132%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0122%
ADX 14 (trend strength 0.35) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.06 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 34 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.370
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 7.4 (falling -9.1 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.338
▸Industry Index falling -9.1 [no link]−0.24834%
Industry Index level 7.4 [no link]−0.09012%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.338
⚖️
Options positioning Bearish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 34% / put 66% (net skew -0.33), unusualness 29/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 5 days.
−0.029
▸1 item(s) · sums to -0.029
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; price momentum dissented. Directional agreement 0.67.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.737
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.67
→
Conviction
0.42
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.42 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26