Cisco SystemsShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral
Price momentum set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a positive tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.26
.02
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.44, confidence 0.52 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.268
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.07314%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0428%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0347%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0316%
Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0286%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0275%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0153%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0092%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0092%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0082%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0071%
ADX 26 (trend strength 0.64) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 1.01 (extreme 0.01) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 60 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.268
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 14.6 (falling -4.2 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.150
▸Industry Index falling -4.2 [no link]−0.09519%
Industry Index level 14.6 [no link]−0.05511%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.150
⚖️
Options positioning Bullish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 98% / put 2% (net skew 0.96), unusualness 35/100. No known catalyst (unexplained — not proof of informed trading).
+0.073
▸1 item(s) · sums to +0.073
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.26.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
+0.191
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.26
→
Conviction
0.02
A clear neutral score; conviction 0.02 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26