CXMTShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral
Price momentum set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a negative tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
2/7
Agreement
0.50
.05
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical downtrend across short horizon(s) — vote -0.21, confidence 0.31 from 6 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.121
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.05720%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.03813%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.03412%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.03111%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0259%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0041%
ADX 19 (trend strength 0.49) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.32 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 48 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
9 item(s) · sums to -0.121
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 14.5 (falling -0.1 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.093
▸Industry Index level 14.5 [no link]−0.08831%
Industry Index falling -0.1 [no link]−0.0052%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.093
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
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Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; price momentum dissented. Directional agreement 0.50.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.215
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.50
→
Conviction
0.05
A clear neutral score; conviction 0.05 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26