Deere & CompanyShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Bearish
Price momentum led a bearish call; the other agents split, so conviction reflects the disagreement.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.67
.35
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.47, confidence 0.27 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.222
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.04811%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.04711%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0389%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0245%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0235%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0205%
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0184%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0153%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0123%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0123%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0020%
ADX 18 (trend strength 0.46) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B -0.28 (extreme 0.28) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 33 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.222
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 10.0 (falling -0.7 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.116
▸Industry Index level 10.0 [no link]−0.09121%
Industry Index falling -0.7 [no link]−0.0246%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.116
⚖️
Options positioning Bearish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 14% / put 86% (net skew -0.73), unusualness 28/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 5 days.
−0.065
▸1 item(s) · sums to -0.065
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
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Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; price momentum dissented. Directional agreement 0.67.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.403
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.67
→
Conviction
0.35
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.35 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26