JPMorgan ChaseShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Neutral
Price momentum set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a negative tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.40
.00
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›✓Driver›✓Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.19, confidence 0.57 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.120
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.03312%
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0228%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0207%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0166%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0166%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0155%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0114%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0114%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0103%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0062%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0052%
ADX 28 (trend strength 0.69) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.33 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 40 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.120
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 13.3 (falling -0.8 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.073
▸Industry Index level 13.3 [no link]−0.05519%
Industry Index falling -0.8 [no link]−0.0176%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.073
⚖️
Options positioning Bullish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 91% / put 9% (net skew 0.82), unusualness 35/100. Context: earnings in 4 days.
+0.049
▸1 item(s) · sums to +0.049
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; price momentum dissented. Directional agreement 0.40.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.145
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.40
→
Conviction
0.00
A mildly-negative score, but weak agreement — so the engine returns a no-conviction Neutral rather than overclaim. This is the system refusing to force a call it doesn’t have.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26