PegatronShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Bearish
Structural carried this call — it supplied almost the entire lean; the other voters nearly net out.
Coverage
2/7
Agreement
0.50
.23
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 7.2 (falling -8.9 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.410
Industry Index falling -8.9 [no link]−0.30049%
Industry Index level 7.2 [no link]−0.11018%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.410
📉
Price momentum Bearish
Technical flat across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.04, confidence 0.29 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.025
▸Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0529%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0254%
Momentum (medium) [no link]+0.0234%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0193%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0183%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0153%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0142%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0132%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0132%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0051%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0020%
ADX 18 (trend strength 0.45) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.18 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 44 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.025
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.50.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.435
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.50
→
Conviction
0.23
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.23 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26