How the signal is computed

QualcommShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Bearish

News carried this call — it supplied almost the entire lean; the other voters nearly net out.

Coverage

4/7

Agreement

0.73

.68

Conviction

How the swarm reasoned

✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict

📰

News Driver

Recent sentiment 0.36 vs 120d baseline 1.00 across 4 stories.

−0.367

Qualcomm forecasts $15 billion data center chip sales by 2029, shares soar [src]−0.57461%

Qualcomm's Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6 comes in an Extreme version too [src]+0.0718%

Google opens pre-orders for Googlebook laptops built by Dell, Lenovo, ASUS and others [src]+0.0677%

Samsung Clears Industry-First LPDDR6 Validation With Qualcomm [src]+0.0364%

Lumentum, Qualcomm, and Corning to Demonstrate High-Density 1060 nm VCSEL Optical D2D Connectivity for AI Scale-Up at ECOC 2026 [src]+0.0334%

5 item(s) · sums to -0.367

🧭

Structural Bearish

Industry Index 14.7 (falling -2.8 over window) — structural headwind.

−0.067

▸

Industry Index falling -2.8 [no link]−0.0354%

Industry Index level 14.7 [no link]−0.0313%

2 item(s) · sums to -0.067

⚖️

Options positioning Bullish

Delayed per-contract options — call premium 57% / put 43% (net skew 0.15), unusualness 40/100. No known catalyst (unexplained — not proof of informed trading).

+0.007

▸

Unusual-activity net skew [src]+0.0071%

1 item(s) · sums to +0.007

📉

Price momentum Bearish

Technical flat across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.03, confidence 0.29 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).

−0.006

▸

Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0344%

MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0101%

MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0081%

Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0081%

Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0071%

Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0061%

Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0061%

OBV (short) [no link]−0.0051%

Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0030%

RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0000%

ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0000%

ADX 16 (trend strength 0.40) [no link]0.0000%

Bollinger %B 0.33 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%

RSI 49 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%

14 item(s) · sums to -0.006

📈

Growth Abstained

Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.

—

🏦

Smart money Abstained

13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.

—

🏰

Moat Abstained

The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.

—

Consensus · did they agree?

Most voters leaned one way; news dissented. Directional agreement 0.73.

The gate · score → conviction → verdict

Raw score

−0.433

Agree·cover·strength

0.73

→

Conviction

0.68

A clear bearish score; conviction 0.68 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.

as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26

Signal history

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How the signal is computed — Qualcomm

Signal history