Vanguard International SemiconductorShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral
Price momentum set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a positive tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
2/7
Agreement
0.21
.06
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.76, confidence 0.67 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.572
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.13216%
Momentum (medium) [no link]+0.0759%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0759%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0567%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0567%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0456%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0405%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0273%
Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0273%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0192%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0192%
ADX 30 (trend strength 0.74) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.86 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 67 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.572
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 5.8 (falling -8.9 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.239
▸Industry Index falling -8.9 [no link]−0.17321%
Industry Index level 5.8 [no link]−0.0668%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.239
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.21.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
+0.333
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.21
→
Conviction
0.06
A clear neutral score; conviction 0.06 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26