Vanguard International SemiconductorShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Neutral
Price momentum set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a positive tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
2/7
Agreement
0.22
.07
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.70, confidence 0.78 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.546
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.13718%
Momentum (medium) [no link]+0.07810%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.07810%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0598%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0426%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0395%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0344%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0233%
Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0203%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0203%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0182%
ADX 35 (trend strength 0.87) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.79 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 65 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.546
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 6.5 (falling -8.3 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.211
▸Industry Index falling -8.3 [no link]−0.15320%
Industry Index level 6.5 [no link]−0.0578%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.211
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.22.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
+0.335
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.22
→
Conviction
0.07
A clear neutral score; conviction 0.07 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26