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How the signal is computed — X-FAB Silicon Foundries

X-FAB Silicon FoundriesShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral

Structural set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a negative tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.

Coverage
2/7
Agreement
0.07
.00
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›✓Driver›✓Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 0.2 (falling -12.6 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.378
Industry Index falling -12.6 [no link]−0.26534%
Industry Index level 0.2 [no link]−0.11315%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.378
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.0658%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0628%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0557%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0476%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0436%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0344%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0253%
Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0253%
OBV (short) [no link]+0.0162%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0132%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0091%
ADX 18 (trend strength 0.44) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.91 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 60 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.284
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?

Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.07.

The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.094
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.07
→
Conviction
0.00

A mildly-negative score, but weak agreement — so the engine returns a no-conviction Neutral rather than overclaim. This is the system refusing to force a call it doesn’t have.

as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26

Signal history

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