X-FAB Silicon FoundriesShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Bearish
Structural led a bearish call; the other agents split, so conviction reflects the disagreement.
Coverage
2/7
Agreement
0.50
.24
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 0.5 (falling -12.3 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.377
Industry Index falling -12.3 [no link]−0.26438%
Industry Index level 0.5 [no link]−0.11216%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.377
📉
Price momentum Bearish
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.52, confidence 0.36 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.321
▸Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]−0.09914%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0629%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0325%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0314%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0233%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0193%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0162%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0152%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0132%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0071%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0061%
ADX 16 (trend strength 0.40) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.29 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 43 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.321
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
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⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
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Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.50.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.698
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.50
→
Conviction
0.24
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.24 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26