Skip to content

Adobe (ADBE) ☆

AI applications & software · Industry Index 13 (rank #77) · $250.23 (+0.90%) · mkt cap $97.4B

ⓘ Data freshness

price: as of 2026-10-30 index: as of 2026-10-30 fundamentals: latest filing 2026-09-22 Reports quarterly (10-Q XBRL)

Adobe makes creative, document, and marketing software (Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, Experience Cloud), with Firefly generative-AI and partner models embedded across its apps.

Signal

signal: as of 2026-10-13

Short (~2 weeks)

75%
Bearish
Conviction 75
  • News— Recent sentiment -0.40 vs 120d baseline 0.50 across 1 story.[news]
  • Options positioning— Delayed per-contract options — call premium 32% / put 68% (net skew -0.37), unusualness 25/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 1 day.[options]
  • Price momentum— Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.13, confidence 0.29 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
  • Structural— Industry Index 13.0 (falling -5.2 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally

Medium (~3 months)

29%
Bearish
Conviction 29
  • Growth trend— Revenue 13% YoY (accelerating), net margin contracting.[filing]
  • Price momentum— Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.13, confidence 0.29 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
  • Smart money— 1 filer(s) accumulating, 1 trimming in 2026Q2 (value-weighted net -0.48).[holding][holding]
  • Structural— Industry Index 13.0 (falling -5.2 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally

Long (~6 months)

6%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 6
  • Growth trend— Revenue 13% YoY (accelerating), net margin contracting.[filing]
  • moat— Editorial prior (subjective, NOT backtested): narrow moat / clear_leader / strong pricing ⇒ wider/leading long-horizon tilt 0.24. Bounded, low-confidence input.[moat: Editorial moat profile — adobe — narrow moat, clear_leader, strong pricing (as of 2026-01-15)]
  • Structural— Industry Index 13.0 (falling -5.2 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally

Show Details

Relationship network

Loading relationship graph…
  • Black Forest Labs — partner
  • Alphabet — partner
  • OpenAI — partner

Key relationships

Options positioning

delayed · aggregate: as of 2026-10-30
  • Call vs put volume: 10,556 calls · 9,343 puts — tilt +6.1% toward calls
  • Vol/OI turnover: 0.14×
  • Premium ($ notional proxy): $5.2M calls · $12.8M puts — tilt -41.9% toward puts
  • OTM tilt: +20.8% toward OTM calls
  • IV skew (put − call): +5.8%