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Adobe (ADBE) ☆

AI applications & software · 產業指數 13 (排名 #80) · $248.12 (-0.70%) · 市值 $96.6B

ⓘ 資料時效

價格: 截至 2026-10-29 指數: 截至 2026-10-29 基本面: 最新申報文件 2026-09-22 按季揭露(10-Q XBRL)

Adobe makes creative, document, and marketing software (Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, Experience Cloud), with Firefly generative-AI and partner models embedded across its apps.

訊號

訊號: 截至 2026-10-13

短期(約 2 週)

75%
看空
信心度 75
  • 新聞— Recent sentiment -0.40 vs 120d baseline 0.50 across 1 story.[news]
  • 選擇權部位結構— Delayed per-contract options — call premium 32% / put 68% (net skew -0.37), unusualness 25/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 1 day.[options]
  • 價格動能— Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.13, confidence 0.29 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · 內部推導
  • 結構性— Industry Index 13.0 (falling -5.2 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · 內部推導

中期(約 3 個月)

29%
看空
信心度 29
  • 成長趨勢— Revenue 13% YoY (accelerating), net margin contracting.[filing]
  • 價格動能— Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.13, confidence 0.29 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · 內部推導
  • 聰明錢— 1 filer(s) accumulating, 1 trimming in 2026Q2 (value-weighted net -0.48).[holding][holding]
  • 結構性— Industry Index 13.0 (falling -5.2 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · 內部推導

長期(約 6 個月)

6%
低信心度 · 中性
信心度 6
  • 成長趨勢— Revenue 13% YoY (accelerating), net margin contracting.[filing]
  • moat— Editorial prior (subjective, NOT backtested): narrow moat / clear_leader / strong pricing ⇒ wider/leading long-horizon tilt 0.24. Bounded, low-confidence input.[moat: Editorial moat profile — adobe — narrow moat, clear_leader, strong pricing (as of 2026-01-15)]
  • 結構性— Industry Index 13.0 (falling -5.2 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · 內部推導

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關係網路

正在載入關係圖譜…
  • Black Forest Labs — 合作夥伴
  • Alphabet — 合作夥伴
  • OpenAI — 合作夥伴

主要關係

選擇權部位結構

延遲 · 彙總: 截至 2026-10-29
  • 買權與賣權成交量:7,720 口買權 · 5,961 口賣權 — 偏向 +12.9%,偏向買權
  • 成交量/未平倉量週轉: 0.10×
  • 權利金(名目金額代理):$4.7M 買權 · $12.7M 賣權 — 偏向 -46.4%,偏向賣權
  • 價外偏斜:+25.3%,偏向價外買權
  • 隱含波動率偏斜(賣權 − 買權): -0.3%