Skip to content

ASML (ASML) ☆

equipment & EDA · Industry Index 46 (rank #3) · $1,675.70 (+0.80%) · mkt cap $645.8B

ⓘ Data freshness

price: as of 2026-10-29 index: as of 2026-10-29 fundamentals: latest filing 2026-02-25 Reports annually (20-F XBRL; no quarterly filings)

Monopoly maker of EUV lithography machines required for leading-edge chipmaking. Files 20-F.

Signal

signal: as of 2026-10-13

Short (~2 weeks)

5%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 5
  • News— Recent sentiment 0.24 vs 120d baseline 0.38 across 2 stories.[news][news]
  • Options positioning— Delayed per-contract options — call premium 54% / put 46% (net skew 0.08), unusualness 34/100. Context: earnings in 1 day.[options]
  • Price momentum— Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.14, confidence 0.35 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
  • Structural— Industry Index 45.9 (falling -4.1 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally

Medium (~3 months)

0%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 0
  • Growth trend— Revenue 16% YoY (accelerating), net margin expanding.[filing]
  • Price momentum— Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.14, confidence 0.35 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
  • Smart money— 2 filer(s) accumulating, 4 trimming in 2026Q2 (value-weighted net -0.84).[holding][holding][holding][holding][holding]
  • Structural— Industry Index 45.9 (falling -4.1 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally

Long (~6 months)

17%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 17
  • Growth trend— Revenue 16% YoY (accelerating), net margin expanding.[filing]
  • moat— Editorial prior (subjective, NOT backtested): wide moat / clear_leader / strong pricing ⇒ wider/leading long-horizon tilt 0.42. Bounded, low-confidence input.[moat: Editorial moat profile — asml — wide moat, clear_leader, strong pricing (as of 2025-12-31)]
  • Structural— Industry Index 45.9 (falling -4.1 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally

Show Details

Relationship network

Loading relationship graph…
  • KLA Corporation — competitor
  • Hua Hong Semiconductor — customer
  • Mistral AI — portfolio company
  • Samsung Electronics — customer
  • Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation — customer
  • Micron — customer · 50% · editorial estimate
  • SK Hynix — customer · 50% · editorial estimate
  • TSMC — customer · 90% · editorial estimate

Key relationships

Options positioning

delayed · aggregate: as of 2026-10-29
  • Call vs put volume: 5,881 calls · 6,320 puts — tilt -3.6% toward puts
  • Vol/OI turnover: 0.21×
  • Premium ($ notional proxy): $23.3M calls · $26.0M puts — tilt -5.5% toward puts
  • OTM tilt: -7.3% toward OTM puts
  • IV skew (put − call): +2.5%