equipment & EDA · Industry Index 8 (rank #161) · $69.93 (+1.30%) · mkt cap $9.8B
ⓘ Data freshness
price: as of 2026-10-06 index: as of 2026-10-07 fundamentals: latest filing 2026-06-30 Reports quarterly (financials via Yahoo Finance; not SEC-registered)
Hong Kong-listed supplier of semiconductor assembly, advanced-packaging (including thermocompression bonding) and surface-mount technology (SMT) equipment.
Industry exposure 0.3 (TCB advanced packaging for AI is a growth engine, but ASMPT's large SMT and mainstream semiconductor businesses are not AI-specific.)
Signal
signal: as of 2026-10-05
Short (~2 weeks)
3%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 3
▲Price momentum— Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.56, confidence 0.18 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
▼Structural— Industry Index 7.1 (falling -8.7 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally
Medium (~3 months)
1%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 1
▲Growth trend— Revenue 10% YoY (accelerating), net margin flat.[filing: revenue 2025Q2 vs 2024Q2]
▲Price momentum— Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.56, confidence 0.18 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
▼Structural— Industry Index 7.1 (falling -8.7 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally
Long (~6 months)
21%
Bearish
Conviction 21
▲Growth trend— Revenue 10% YoY (accelerating), net margin flat.[filing: revenue 2025Q2 vs 2024Q2]
▼Structural— Industry Index 7.1 (falling -8.7 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally
TSMC — customer · ASMPT supplies thermocompression bonding (TCB) tools for advanced packaging of AI and HPC chips, the packaging class used for GPU/HBM integration at foundries such as TSMC. source: digitimes.com
Kulicke & Soffa — competitor · Kulicke & Soffa identifies ASMPT as a competitor in assembly and advanced-packaging (thermocompression bonding) equipment. source: sec.gov
Options positioning
No liquid options — not enough recent activity to read.
baseline warming · 0/20 days
Delayed, end-of-day, aggregate per contract — not a live tape or trade-level flow. Buy/sell side is INFERRED from where each contract's last print sat in the bid/ask spread, not observed order flow. The company-wide side is withheld unless quoted contracts cover at least a quarter of the day's premium, so it can be blank while individual contracts below show a side. Call/put premium is measured across the chain we capture — the 6 nearest expiries within 45 days, not the full option chain — while the table below lists at most 20 flagged contracts, so summing those rows will not reproduce the percentage.
Call/put premium?
—
Side (inferred)?—
Active flags
0
Recent flags
No unusual options activity — nothing above threshold recently.
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
no vote
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
no vote
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
no vote
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.18.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.275
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.18
→
Conviction
0.03
A clear neutral score; conviction 0.03 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26
Signal history
No moat profile yet. The durable competitive advantage — moat, leadership, and pricing power — is curated for flagship names first; ASMPT isn't covered yet. Nothing here is fabricated in its absence.
Signal contribution
The moat prior — a subjective, non-backtested editorial input — only nudges the long (~6-month) horizon, and it isn't scoring ASMPT yet (no long-horizon signal has been computed for this name). Nothing here is fabricated in its absence.
What you're looking at
These charts plot ASMPT's reported income statement, cash flow, and balance sheet from its SEC filings through 2026-06-30. Every figure is as-filed XBRL — none of it is an estimate.
Over the reported window, revenue fell 29% to $1.8B (FY2022→FY2025); gross margin moved 41% → 38%; net income at $115.9M in FY2025.
Analyst consensus — third-party estimates from Yahoo Finance, as of 2026-10-06. Not SEC filings and not a TradingPilot forecast. source: finance.yahoo.com
Period
EPS (est.)
Revenue (est.)
YoY
Q/E Sep 2026
—
HKD 5.2B (HKD 5.1B–HKD 5.3B) · 6
+42%
FY 2026
—
HKD 19.1B (HKD 16.7B–HKD 20.4B) · 18
+39%
Each figure shows the consensus mean, its (low–high) range where available, and · the number of analysts behind that estimate.
Our model leans Low-confidence · Neutral on the stock over the medium horizon — a market-direction call, not an earnings forecast. See the Signal tab.
Income statement
Cash flow & liquidity
Balance sheet
Some recent figures are from Yahoo Finance where the latest SEC filing hasn’t posted yet — FX-converted to USD and reconciled against SEC-filed periods.
Passive index filers are not gurus. Their 13F changes are index flows, and they are excluded from TradingPilot’s smart-money signal.
Quant caveat. A quant filer’s 13F (e.g. Renaissance) is a long-only quarter-end snapshot and does NOT reflect its actual high-turnover, short-horizon strategy.
Guru pages and holdings never feed a signal (weightless).
No tagged news yet.
Impact = company-prominence tier (High/Medium auto-assigned by graph centrality/size; Low only on curated minor events), not a magnitude forecast.
