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Lumentum Holdings (LITE) ☆

networking & interconnect · Industry Index 14 (rank #59) · $919.53 (+0.60%) · mkt cap $83.3B

ⓘ Data freshness

price: as of 2026-10-29 index: as of 2026-10-29 fundamentals: latest filing 2026-10-06 Reports quarterly (10-Q XBRL)

Lumentum designs EML lasers, optical chips, and transceivers for datacenter interconnect and is a leading supplier of EMLs for AI optics.

Signal

signal: as of 2026-10-13

Short (~2 weeks)

0%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 0
  • News— Recent sentiment 0.42 vs 120d baseline 0.30 across 3 stories.[news][news][news]
  • Options positioning— Delayed per-contract options — call premium 58% / put 42% (net skew 0.16), unusualness 35/100. Context: matches: Lumentum, Astera Labs and Corning to demonstr….[options]
  • Price momentum— Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.30, confidence 0.19 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
  • Structural— Industry Index 14.7 (falling -2.6 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally

Medium (~3 months)

1%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 1
  • Growth trend— Revenue 90% YoY (accelerating), net margin expanding.[filing]
  • Price momentum— Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.30, confidence 0.19 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
  • Smart money— 1 filer(s) accumulating, 1 trimming in 2026Q2 (value-weighted net -0.83).[holding][holding]
  • Structural— Industry Index 14.7 (falling -2.6 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally

Long (~6 months)

44%
Bullish
Conviction 44
  • Growth trend— Revenue 90% YoY (accelerating), net margin expanding.[filing]
  • moat— Editorial prior (subjective, NOT backtested): narrow moat / co_leader / moderate pricing ⇒ wider/leading long-horizon tilt 0.13. Bounded, low-confidence input.[moat: Editorial moat profile — lumentum — narrow moat, co_leader, moderate pricing (as of 2025-08-19)]
  • Structural— Industry Index 14.7 (falling -2.6 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally

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Relationship network

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  • Applied Optoelectronics — competitor
  • Coherent Corp — competitor
  • Fabrinet — supplier · 10% · editorial estimate
  • NVIDIA — investor

Key relationships

  • Applied Optoelectronics — competitor · Applied Optoelectronics competes with Lumentum and Coherent in high-speed datacenter optical transceivers. source: industrialanalyst.substack.com
  • Coherent Corp — competitor · Coherent and Lumentum are the two leading competitors in AI datacenter optical transceivers and EML laser chips. source: tradingkey.com
  • Fabrinet — supplier · 10% dependency editorial estimate · Fabrinet contract-manufactures optical products for Lumentum, reported as a major customer in Fabrinet's customer-concentration disclosures. source: sec.gov
  • NVIDIA — investor · Nvidia's multibillion-dollar photonics investment spanned both Coherent and Lumentum to secure AI optical-component capacity. source: cnbc.com

Options positioning

delayed · aggregate: as of 2026-10-29
  • Call vs put volume: 39,103 calls · 25,767 puts — tilt +20.6% toward calls
  • Vol/OI turnover: 0.66×
  • Premium ($ notional proxy): $85.4M calls · $66.3M puts — tilt +12.6% toward calls
  • OTM tilt: +25.9% toward OTM calls
  • IV skew (put − call): -1.6%