memory & storage · Industry Index 6 (rank #187) · $118.00 (-1.30%) · mkt cap $7.3B
ⓘ Data freshness
price: as of 2026-10-07 index: as of 2026-10-07 fundamentals: latest filing 2026-06-30 Reports quarterly (financials via Yahoo Finance; not SEC-registered)
Taiwanese non-volatile memory maker specializing in NOR flash and mask ROM for automotive, industrial, networking and gaming devices.
Industry exposure 0.1 (Macronix's NOR flash and mask-ROM business is driven by automotive, consumer and gaming devices rather than AI compute.)
Signal
signal: as of 2026-10-05
Short (~2 weeks)
21%
Bearish
Conviction 21
▲Price momentum— Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.10, confidence 0.16 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
▼Structural— Industry Index 3.9 (falling -10.3 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally
Medium (~3 months)
22%
Bullish
Conviction 22
▲Growth trend— Revenue 158% YoY (accelerating), net margin expanding.[filing: revenue 2026Q2 vs 2025Q2]
▲Price momentum— Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.10, confidence 0.16 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · derived internally
▼Structural— Industry Index 3.9 (falling -10.3 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally
Long (~6 months)
10%
Low-confidence · Neutral
Conviction 10
▲Growth trend— Revenue 158% YoY (accelerating), net margin expanding.[filing: revenue 2026Q2 vs 2025Q2]
▼Structural— Industry Index 3.9 (falling -10.3 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · derived internally
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
no vote
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
no vote
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
no vote
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.43.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.528
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.43
→
Conviction
0.21
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.21 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26
Signal history
No moat profile yet. The durable competitive advantage — moat, leadership, and pricing power — is curated for flagship names first; Macronix International isn't covered yet. Nothing here is fabricated in its absence.
Signal contribution
The moat prior — a subjective, non-backtested editorial input — only nudges the long (~6-month) horizon, and it isn't scoring Macronix International yet (no long-horizon signal has been computed for this name). Nothing here is fabricated in its absence.
What you're looking at
These charts plot Macronix International's reported income statement, cash flow, and balance sheet from its SEC filings through 2026-06-30. Every figure is as-filed XBRL — none of it is an estimate.
Over the reported window, revenue fell 35% to $924.3M (FY2022→FY2025); gross margin moved 44% → 18%; net income at a loss of $105.9M in FY2025.
Analyst consensus — third-party estimates from Yahoo Finance, as of 2026-10-06. Not SEC filings and not a TradingPilot forecast. source: finance.yahoo.com
Period
EPS (est.)
Revenue (est.)
YoY
Q/E Sep 2026
TWD 6.20 (TWD 4.93–TWD 6.93) · 6
TWD 25.6B (TWD 22.8B–TWD 27.1B) · 4
+212%
FY 2026
TWD 19.61 (TWD 14.76–TWD 23.54) · 6
TWD 86.0B (TWD 76.3B–TWD 99.6B) · 6
+198%
Each figure shows the consensus mean, its (low–high) range where available, and · the number of analysts behind that estimate.
Next report ~2026-10-28.
Our model leans Bullish on the stock over the medium horizon — a market-direction call, not an earnings forecast. See the Signal tab.
Income statement
Cash flow & liquidity
Balance sheet
Some recent figures are from Yahoo Finance where the latest SEC filing hasn’t posted yet — FX-converted to USD and reconciled against SEC-filed periods.
Passive index filers are not gurus. Their 13F changes are index flows, and they are excluded from TradingPilot’s smart-money signal.
Quant caveat. A quant filer’s 13F (e.g. Renaissance) is a long-only quarter-end snapshot and does NOT reflect its actual high-turnover, short-horizon strategy.
Guru pages and holdings never feed a signal (weightless).
