ASMPTShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral
Structural set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a negative tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.
Coverage
2/7
Agreement
0.18
.03
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
🧭
Structural Driver
Industry Index 7.1 (falling -8.7 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.528
Industry Index falling -8.7 [no link]−0.38647%
Industry Index level 7.1 [no link]−0.14217%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.528
📉
Price momentum Bullish
Technical uptrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote 0.56, confidence 0.18 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
+0.253
▸Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]+0.07810%
Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0456%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]+0.0344%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]+0.0263%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0223%
Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0223%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]+0.0213%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]+0.0121%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0111%
RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0081%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0051%
ADX 11 (trend strength 0.29) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 1.15 (extreme 0.15) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 63 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to +0.253
📰
News Abstained
no recent news
—
⚖️
Options positioning Abstained
no liquid options snapshot
—
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; structural dissented. Directional agreement 0.18.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.275
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.18
→
Conviction
0.03
A clear neutral score; conviction 0.03 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26