How the signal is computed

Constellation EnergyShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Neutral

News set the tone, but the swarm won’t commit — a negative tilt with weak agreement, so the call is Neutral.

Coverage

4/7

Agreement

0.71

.08

Conviction

How the swarm reasoned

✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict

📰

News Bearish

Recent sentiment 0.30 vs 120d baseline 0.36 across 1 story.

−0.027

▸

Constellation and Toyota Announce Renewable Energy Purchase Agreement [src]+0.13427%

Constellation Energy signs long-term nuclear power purchase deal with Walmart [src]−0.10721%

Constellation makes strategic investment in nuclear developer Blue Energy for BWRX-300 SMRs [src]−0.0408%

Constellation Energy Beat Earnings Estimates. Wall Street Cut Its Price Target Anyway. [src]−0.0133%

4 item(s) · sums to -0.027

🧭

Structural Driver

Industry Index 12.9 (falling -5.2 over window) — structural headwind.

−0.145

Industry Index falling -5.2 [no link]−0.09719%

Industry Index level 12.9 [no link]−0.0479%

2 item(s) · sums to -0.145

📉

Price momentum Bearish

Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.08, confidence 0.23 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).

−0.018

▸

Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]−0.0285%

Stochastic (short) [no link]+0.0082%

OBV (short) [no link]+0.0061%

Momentum (short) [no link]+0.0051%

Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0051%

ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0041%

MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0010%

Momentum (medium) [no link]+0.0010%

MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0010%

Bollinger %B (short) [no link]+0.0000%

RSI trend (short) [no link]+0.0000%

ADX 23 (trend strength 0.57) [no link]0.0000%

Bollinger %B 0.51 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%

RSI 51 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%

14 item(s) · sums to -0.018

⚖️

Options positioning Bullish

Delayed per-contract options — call premium 54% / put 46% (net skew 0.08), unusualness 39/100. No known catalyst (unexplained — not proof of informed trading).

+0.006

▸

Unusual-activity net skew [src]+0.0061%

1 item(s) · sums to +0.006

📈

Growth Abstained

Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.

—

🏦

Smart money Abstained

13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.

—

🏰

Moat Abstained

The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.

—

Consensus · did they agree?

Most voters leaned one way; news dissented. Directional agreement 0.71.

The gate · score → conviction → verdict

Raw score

−0.184

Agree·cover·strength

0.71

→

Conviction

0.08

A clear neutral score; conviction 0.08 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.

as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26

Signal history

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How the signal is computed — Constellation Energy

Signal history