NetflixShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-05Bearish
Price momentum carried this call — it supplied almost the entire lean; the other voters nearly net out.
Coverage
3/7
Agreement
0.67
.42
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
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Price momentum Driver
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.78, confidence 0.62 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.524
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]−0.11720%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.06711%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.06711%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.05810%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0508%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0478%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0325%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0285%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0244%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0173%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0173%
ADX 27 (trend strength 0.69) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.14 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 33 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.524
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Structural Bearish
Industry Index 12.6 (falling -0.6 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.066
▸Industry Index level 12.6 [no link]−0.0539%
Industry Index falling -0.6 [no link]−0.0132%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.066
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Options positioning Bearish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 49% / put 51% (net skew -0.02), unusualness 28/100. No known catalyst (unexplained — not proof of informed trading).
−0.001
▸1 item(s) · sums to -0.001
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News Abstained
no recent news
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Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
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Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
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Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; price momentum dissented. Directional agreement 0.67.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.591
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.67
→
Conviction
0.42
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.42 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-05 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26