TeraWulfShort · ~2 weeksas of 2026-10-09Bearish
News led a bearish call; the other agents split, so conviction reflects the disagreement.
Coverage
4/7
Agreement
0.73
.59
Conviction
How the swarm reasoned
✓Question›✓Coverage›3Driver›4Consensus›5Gate›6Verdict
📰
News Bullish
Recent sentiment 0.50 vs 120d baseline 0.49 across 1 story.
+0.003
▸4 item(s) · sums to +0.003
📉
Price momentum Driver
Technical downtrend across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.67, confidence 0.34 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).
−0.208
Moving-average trend (medium) [no link]−0.0547%
Momentum (medium) [no link]−0.0314%
Momentum (short) [no link]−0.0314%
Moving-average trend (short) [no link]−0.0233%
MACD histogram (medium) [no link]−0.0132%
Bollinger %B (short) [no link]−0.0122%
Stochastic (short) [no link]−0.0111%
MACD histogram (short) [no link]−0.0101%
ADX / DMI (medium) [no link]−0.0091%
OBV (short) [no link]−0.0081%
RSI trend (short) [no link]−0.0061%
ADX 15 (trend strength 0.38) [no link]0.0000%
Bollinger %B 0.10 (extreme 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
RSI 38 (overextension penalty 0.00) [no link]0.0000%
14 item(s) · sums to -0.208
🧭
Structural Bearish
Industry Index 8.1 (falling -8.5 over window) — structural headwind.
−0.190
▸Industry Index falling -8.5 [no link]−0.14017%
Industry Index level 8.1 [no link]−0.0506%
2 item(s) · sums to -0.190
⚖️
Options positioning Bullish
Delayed per-contract options — call premium 52% / put 48% (net skew 0.03), unusualness 26/100. Context: Consumer Price Index in 5 days.
+0.001
▸1 item(s) · sums to +0.001
📈
Growth Abstained
Fundamentals inform the ~3-month call, not a 2-week move.
—
🏦
Smart money Abstained
13F filings move too slowly for a 2-week call.
—
🏰
Moat Abstained
The moat prior is a ~6-month structural view, not a 2-week move.
—
Consensus · did they agree?
Most voters leaned one way; price momentum dissented. Directional agreement 0.73.
The gate · score → conviction → verdict
Raw score
−0.393
×
Agree·cover·strength
0.73
→
Conviction
0.59
A clear bearish score; conviction 0.59 reflects how strongly the agents agree. Conviction is confidence, not a probability of the move.
as of 2026-10-09 · config sig-v4-2026-07-26