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Compare moats

Up to three covered companies, band by band. Every call is a curated editorial judgment, never a disclosed figure — and every band carries its cited basis.

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Jabil JBL ai moat: latest change 2025-10-17 Deere & Company DE ai moat: latest change 2025-12-18
Moat rating none

Jabil's FY2025 10-K (fiscal year ended August 31, 2025) says it plainly: "Our business is highly competitive, and our manufacturing processes are generally not subject to significant proprietary protection." It adds that "The significant purchasing power and market power of these competitors, many of which are large companies, has and could increase pricing and competitive pressures for us", that some "have substantially greater manufacturing, research and development (R&D) and marketing resources", and that customers "are continually evaluating the merits of manufacturing products internally against the advantages of outsourcing". Stored fundamentals from the 10-Ks show gross profit of $2,867 million on $34,702 million of revenue in fiscal 2023, $2,676 million on $28,883 million in fiscal 2024 and $2,646 million on $29,802 million in fiscal 2025. AI demand has since accelerated growth (fiscal 2026 net revenue of $36.0 billion, per the 2026-09-30 release), but growth is not protection, and the filing's own description is of an unprotected, competitive service. No moat is claimable.

source: sec.gov

narrow

The independent evidence is a regulator's complaint, not a finding. The FTC, Illinois and Minnesota complaint filed 2025-01-15 (https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/ftc_gov/pdf/DeereCoREDACTEDComplaintCaseNo325-cv-50017.pdf) alleges that "Deere is the world's leading manufacturer of agricultural equipment like large tractors and combine harvesters, and Deere enjoys a dominant share of large tractor and combine sales in the United States", that Deere "possessed monopoly and market power in the sale of Large Tractors and Combines in the United States", and that "There are substantial barriers to entry into the Large Tractor and Combine markets." The share figures behind those claims are redacted in the public version. Deere's FY2025 Form 10-K (fiscal year ended 2025-11-02, filed 2025-12-18) adds the company's own side of the edge: "John Deere's brand recognition is a competitive factor in North America and many other parts of the world", about 2,050 independent dealer locations in the U.S. and Canada, and parts "many of which are proprietary". The limits are in the same 10-K: "The agricultural equipment industry continues to change and is becoming even more competitive through the emergence and global expansion of many competitors", the industry "is also attracting non-traditional competitors, including technology-focused companies and start-up ventures", and construction and forestry (29% of fiscal 2025 equipment net sales) faces Caterpillar, Komatsu, Volvo and others. That supports a narrow rating, not a wide one. The dominance and entry barriers are a plaintiff's allegations, not findings, and the share figures are redacted. They cover U.S. large tractors and combines, inside a segment that was 45% of fiscal 2025 equipment net sales. Deere's own filing describes agriculture as becoming more competitive and construction and forestry as a contested market.

source: sec.gov

Moat type none

The 10-K says "We currently have a relatively modest number of patents for various innovations" and that Jabil relies "largely upon a combination of intellectual property laws, non-disclosure agreements with our customers, employees, and suppliers and our internal security systems, policies, and procedures", with other proprietary-rights factors being "the knowledge and experience of our management and workforce". Its stated advantages are operating methods (customer-dedicated business units, "highly automated, continuous flow manufacturing", global production and centralized procurement), not lock-in: "In the past, some of our customers moved a portion of their manufacturing from us in order to more fully utilize their excess internal manufacturing capacity." On the Q4 FY2026 call (https://earningswhispers.com/transcript/JBL/Q42026) management described a build-to-customer-design model rather than proprietary platforms: "We help customers build the system they've designed with their silicon, their architecture, and whichever suppliers they choose."

source: sec.gov

switching costs

The FTC complaint (2025-01-15) places the advantage in the cost of leaving the installed fleet: "Equipment owners cannot switch from Deere agricultural equipment to other manufacturers' equipment without incurring significant costs", including "the cost of acquiring replacement equipment (often hundreds of thousands of dollars per machine), the cost of learning how to operate new equipment, and the cost of losing data generated by existing Deere equipment", plus the cost of making "mixed fleets" interoperable. The FY2025 10-K describes the assets that create this lock-in: a dealer network of about 2,050 U.S. and Canadian locations, proprietary parts for current and past products, and the John Deere Operations Center, which Item 1A says "stores substantial volumes of data with respect to our customers' operations". Patents are not the main source: the 10-K says it does "not regard any of our businesses as being dependent upon any single patent or family of patents."

source: sec.gov

Leadership at parity

The 10-K calls Jabil "one of the leading providers of engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain solutions" and claims no rank. Independently, EMSNOW/in4ma's "EMS&ODM Global 100" (2026-03-06, https://www.emsnow.com/?p=53535) groups Jabil with Flex, Celestica and Sanmina as the US "big four", "representing about 85% of the revenue base among ~20 US headquartered EMS/ODM", while Wistron, Quanta and Wiwynn "plus Foxconn together account for nearly 57% of global EMS/ODM production". The 10-K concedes some competitors have "substantially greater manufacturing, research and development (R&D) and marketing resources". Among the largest Western contract manufacturers but behind the Taiwanese leaders in scale: at parity, not a leader.

source: sec.gov

clear leader

The independent evidence covers U.S. large farm equipment. The FTC complaint (2025-01-15) states "Deere is the largest manufacturer of agricultural equipment in the United States" and alleges that for each fiscal year from at least 2012 to 2021 Deere's share of large tractors sold in the United States exceeded a figure that is redacted in the public version; the FTC press release of the same day (https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2025/01/ftc-states-sue-deere-company-protect-farmers-unfair-corporate-tactics-high-repair-costs) says Deere "maintains a dominant market share position across the large agricultural equipment market". These are a plaintiff's allegations. The band does not extend to construction and forestry, where the FY2025 10-K lists Caterpillar, CNH Industrial, Doosan Bobcat, Hitachi, Komatsu, Kubota, Liugong, SANY, Volvo and XCMG among global competitors and no independent share source was found.

source: sec.gov

Pricing power weak

Stored fundamentals show gross profit of $2,867 million on $34,702 million of revenue in fiscal 2023, $2,676 million on $28,883 million in fiscal 2024 and $2,646 million on $29,802 million in fiscal 2025. The 10-K says "Most of our significant long-term customer contracts permit quarterly or other periodic prospective adjustments to pricing based on decreases and increases in component prices and other factors", so component costs largely pass through, while competitors may "be better positioned to compete on price for their services". Management's fiscal 2027 outlook is a core operating margin (non-GAAP) of 6.1% (release, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898293/000162828026063890/jbl-20260930ex991.htm).

source: sec.gov

moderate

The FTC complaint alleges pricing power in large tractors and combines, "shown directly through Deere's ability to raise prices, reduce output, and degrade quality in those markets", and says Deere's dealers "charge supracompetitive prices for restricted repairs". The reported numbers show a cyclical business: the third-party data site stockanalysis.com (https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/de/financials/) shows gross margin of 30.63% in fiscal 2023, 29.50% in fiscal 2024, 26.96% in fiscal 2025 and 25.18% for the twelve months to August 2026, and stored fundamentals from the 10-K show net income of $10,166 million (fiscal 2023), $7,100 million (fiscal 2024) and $5,027 million (fiscal 2025). Item 1A of the FY2025 10-K says Deere competes on "product performance, innovation, quality, distribution, sustainability, customer service, and price", that "Aggressive pricing or other strategies of competitors" or a failure "to price products competitively" hurt results, and that results suffer "if our customers are unwilling to accept price increases for our products". Alleged pricing power that still leaves margins falling with farm demand is moderate, not strong.

source: sec.gov

Summary

Jabil provides engineering, manufacturing and supply chain services through three segments. Per its FY2025 10-K, Intelligent Infrastructure serves "capital equipment, cloud and data center infrastructure, and networking and communications" customers; Regulated Industries serves automotive and transportation, healthcare and packaging, and renewables and energy infrastructure; and Connected Living and Digital Commerce is focused on "digitalization and automation, including warehouse automation and robotics". AI demand now drives growth: the fiscal 2026 release (2026-09-30) reports net revenue of $36.0 billion, with the CEO saying Jabil "grew revenue 21%, expanded core operating margin 40 basis points", and on the Q4 FY2026 call management said "AI-related revenue was up 60% year-over-year", that Jabil "ended the year with four customers with AI related revenue above a billion dollars annually", and that it expects cloud and data center infrastructure revenue of "approximately $17.5 billion" in fiscal 2027. The 10-K shows the limits: the five largest customers were approximately 36% of fiscal 2025 revenue and one customer, reported primarily in Intelligent Infrastructure, 16%; manufacturing processes are "generally not subject to significant proprietary protection"; and competitors may "be willing or able to make sales or provide services at lower margins than we do". An independent tally (EMSNOW/in4ma, 2026-03-06) counts Jabil among the US "big four" EMS providers while putting Foxconn, Wistron, Quanta and Wiwynn at "nearly 57% of global EMS/ODM production". A large, fast-growing contractor without a protected position.

Deere makes agricultural, turf, construction, forestry and roadbuilding equipment and finances it through John Deere Financial. Per its FY2025 Form 10-K, Production & Precision Agriculture generated $17,311 million of net sales (45% of equipment operations net sales), Small Agriculture & Turf $10,224 million (26%) and Construction & Forestry $11,382 million (29%), within net sales and revenues of $45,684 million. The core of the moat is large farm machinery. The FTC's January 2025 complaint calls Deere "the largest manufacturer of agricultural equipment in the United States" and alleges a dominant share of U.S. large tractor and combine sales, substantial barriers to entry, and significant costs to switch away from a Deere fleet, including losing machine data. The 10-K adds brand recognition, about 2,050 U.S. and Canadian dealer locations, proprietary parts and the Operations Center data platform. The same structure is under legal attack: the FTC with several states, and a separate multidistrict class action, allege that Deere unlawfully restrained the market for repairing its own farm equipment by limiting repair resources, including its fully functional Service ADVISOR tool, to its authorised dealers. On 2026-07-08 the FTC and Illinois, Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin announced a settlement (https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2026/07/ftc-states-secure-settlement-deere-company-advancing-farmers-right-repair): a stipulated order, which has the force of law once the District Court approves it, requiring Deere for 10 years to make available to farmers and independent repair providers "repair resources equivalent to those Deere now makes available to Deere dealers". Item 1A also reports "slower than expected customer adoption of some of our precision technology solutions, and SaaS subscription services". Earnings are cyclical: the third-party data site stockanalysis.com shows gross margin falling from 30.63% in fiscal 2023 to 26.96% in fiscal 2025, and the 10-K reports PPA backlog down to about $4.0 billion from $5.2 billion as "demand has declined". An alleged dominant, high-barrier large-ag franchise, with repair-access litigation as the main threat to its aftermarket profits, supports a narrow moat. The dominance rests on a plaintiff's unproven allegations and covers one segment, and construction and forestry is a contested second leg.

Chain position

Contract manufacturer for cloud, networking, semiconductor-equipment, automotive, healthcare and consumer customers. On the Q4 FY2026 call management said "Others in the industry are building product companies around their own power and cooling platforms and asking customers to standardize on them. That's a legitimate model. Ours is different."

An AI adopter, not an AI vendor: Item 1A of the FY2025 10-K says Deere uses "automation software, digital tools, applications, and analytics on the S7 Series Combines and our See & Spray targeted spraying solution", maintains the Operations Center data platform, and leverages generative AI in its business processes, and warns that falling behind competitors' AI advances could hurt its competitive position.

Products (share / barrier)
  • Construction, forestry and Wirtgen roadbuilding equipment Unknown · Moderate source: sec.gov
  • Large tractors and combines (Production & Precision Agriculture) Leader · Deep source: ftc.gov
  • Precision agriculture technology and John Deere Operations Center Unknown · Moderate source: sec.gov
  • Small agriculture and turf equipment Unknown · Moderate source: sec.gov
Long-horizon vote -0.06 at weight 0.20 · swarm neutral

Editorial prior, not backtested.

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+0.20 at weight 0.20 · swarm neutral

Editorial prior, not backtested.

see exactly how it voted →