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TSMC (TSM) ☆

foundry & packaging · 产业指数 53 (排名 #2) · $431.81 (-1.80%) · 市值 $2.2T

ⓘ 数据时效

价格: 截至 2026-10-29 指数: 截至 2026-10-29 基本面: 最新申报文件 2026-03-31 按季披露(10-Q XBRL)

全球领先的半导体晶圆代工厂,几乎所有先进制程 AI 芯片都由其制造。申报 20-F(仅年度 XBRL)。

信号

信号: 截至 2026-10-13

短期(约 2 周)

0%
低置信度 · 中性
置信度 0
  • 新闻— Recent sentiment 0.37 vs 120d baseline 0.50 across 5 stories.[news][news][news]
  • 期权持仓结构— Delayed per-contract options — call premium 49% / put 51% (net skew -0.03), unusualness 31/100. Context: earnings in 2 days.[options]
  • 价格动量— Technical flat across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.03, confidence 0.29 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · 内部推导
  • 结构性— Industry Index 53.4 (falling -3.0 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · 内部推导

中期(约 3 个月)

0%
低置信度 · 中性
置信度 0
  • 增长趋势— Revenue 41% YoY (accelerating), net margin expanding.[filing]
  • 价格动量— Technical flat across short+medium horizon(s) — vote -0.03, confidence 0.29 from 11 indicator sub-signal(s).[price] · 内部推导
  • 聪明钱— 3 filer(s) accumulating, 5 trimming in 2026Q2 (value-weighted net -0.66).[holding][holding][holding][holding][holding]
  • 结构性— Industry Index 53.4 (falling -3.0 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · 内部推导

长期(约 6 个月)

50%
看多
置信度 50
  • 增长趋势— Revenue 41% YoY (accelerating), net margin expanding.[filing]
  • moat— Editorial prior (subjective, NOT backtested): wide moat / clear_leader / strong pricing ⇒ wider/leading long-horizon tilt 0.42. Bounded, low-confidence input.[moat: Editorial moat profile — tsmc — wide moat, clear_leader, strong pricing (as of 2026-04-16)]
  • 结构性— Industry Index 53.4 (falling -3.0 over window) — structural headwind.[index] · 内部推导

查看详情

关系网络

正在加载关系图谱…
  • KLA Corporation — 供应商
  • Apple — 客户 · 90% · 编辑估算
  • Tesla, Inc. — 客户
  • Applied Materials — 供应商
  • Amkor Technology — 合作伙伴
  • ASM International — 供应商
  • ASMPT — 供应商
  • Camtek — 供应商
  • Disco Corporation — 供应商
  • Lam Research — 供应商
  • Nova Ltd — 供应商
  • Onto Innovation — 供应商
  • Tokyo Electron — 供应商
  • Cerebras Systems — 客户
  • Etched — 客户
  • Marvell Technology — 客户
  • Qualcomm — 客户
  • Rambus — 客户
  • SambaNova Systems — 客户
  • Vanguard International Semiconductor — 被投公司 · 20% · 出处披露
  • AMD — 客户 · 90% · 出处披露
  • Broadcom — 客户 · 70% · 编辑估算
  • NVIDIA — 客户 · 90% · 编辑估算
  • ASML — 供应商 · 90% · 编辑估算

主要关系

  • KLA Corporation — 供应商 · KLA discloses Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company as a customer accounting for more than 10% of total revenues in each of the fiscal years ended June 30, 2026, 2025 and 2024, primarily in the Semiconductor Process Control segment. 来源:sec.gov
  • Apple — 客户 · 90% 依赖度 编辑估算 · TSMC manufactures Apple's A-series and M-series (Apple Silicon) chips on its leading-edge nodes; Apple is reported to be TSMC's largest customer and to have ordered roughly half of TSMC's initial 2nm capacity for the iPhone 18. 来源:cnbc.com
  • Tesla, Inc. — 客户 · TSMC co-produces Tesla's AI5 inference chip at its Arizona fab under a dual-foundry arrangement with Samsung. 来源:techhq.com
  • Applied Materials — 供应商 · Applied Materials discloses TSMC as a greater-than-10% customer, supplying deposition, etch, CMP and other wafer-fabrication equipment. 来源:sec.gov
  • Amkor Technology — 合作伙伴 · Amkor and TSMC signed a 10-year agreement for Amkor to provide turnkey advanced packaging and test in Arizona supporting TSMC's US wafer customers. 来源:amkor.com
  • ASM International — 供应商 · ASM International, the leader in atomic layer deposition (ALD), supplies the ALD tools TSMC needs for gate-all-around transistors at advanced AI-logic nodes. 来源:convequity.substack.com
  • ASMPT — 供应商 · ASMPT supplies thermocompression bonding (TCB) tools for advanced packaging of AI and HPC chips, the packaging class used for GPU/HBM integration at foundries such as TSMC. 来源:digitimes.com
  • Camtek — 供应商 · Camtek's inspection systems serve TSMC's CoWoS advanced-packaging capacity expansion for AI accelerators. 来源:kavout.com
  • Disco Corporation — 供应商 · Disco supplies the grinding and dicing equipment used in TSMC's advanced packaging (e.g., CoWoS) and wafer thinning for AI chips. 来源:newsletter.semianalysis.com
  • Lam Research — 供应商 · TSMC uses Lam Research etch and deposition systems in its logic manufacturing lines. 来源:sec.gov
  • Nova Ltd — 供应商 · Nova supplies dimensional and materials metrology (including OCD) to TSMC for advanced-node process control. 来源:en.wikipedia.org
  • Onto Innovation — 供应商 · Onto Innovation's Dragonfly inspection/metrology platform passed TSMC's tool-qualification process for 2.5D advanced packaging used in AI GPU packages. 来源:beyondspx.com
  • Tokyo Electron — 供应商 · Tokyo Electron is a key supplier of coater/developer, etch and deposition equipment to TSMC, described as its most important customer. 来源:asia.nikkei.com
  • Cerebras Systems — 客户 · Cerebras discloses reliance on TSMC to manufacture its wafer-scale AI processors. 来源:sec.gov
  • Etched — 客户 · Etched's Sohu transformer inference ASIC is fabricated on TSMC's 4nm process. 来源:techcrunch.com
  • Marvell Technology — 客户 · Marvell relies on TSMC's advanced process nodes to manufacture its custom AI ASICs and data-center silicon. 来源:sec.gov
  • Qualcomm — 客户 · Qualcomm uses TSMC, alongside Samsung, to manufacture its advanced mobile and compute SoCs. 来源:sec.gov
  • Rambus — 客户 · Rambus is fabless and depends on foundries such as TSMC to manufacture its memory interface chips. 来源:sec.gov
  • SambaNova Systems — 客户 · SambaNova's SN40L RDU is fabricated on TSMC's 5nm process with CoWoS advanced packaging. 来源:servethehome.com
  • Vanguard International Semiconductor — 被投公司 · 20% 依赖度 · TSMC is the largest shareholder of Vanguard International Semiconductor, historically owning roughly 27-28% (reducing toward ~19% after a 2026 stake sale). 来源:trendforce.com
  • AMD — 客户 · 90% 依赖度 · AMD's 10-K discloses reliance on TSMC for substantially all leading-edge wafer fabrication. 来源:sec.gov
  • Broadcom — 客户 · 70% 依赖度 编辑估算 · Broadcom is fabless; TSMC fabricates its leading-edge networking and custom AI accelerator silicon. 来源:sec.gov
  • NVIDIA — 客户 · 90% 依赖度 编辑估算 · TSMC 代工制造 NVIDIA 几乎全部先进制程数据中心 GPU;NVIDIA 的 10-K 披露其依赖少数几家晶圆代工厂。 来源:sec.gov
  • ASML — 供应商 · 90% 依赖度 编辑估算 · ASML is the sole supplier of the EUV lithography systems TSMC requires for leading-edge nodes. 来源:asml.com

期权持仓结构

延迟 · 汇总: 截至 2026-10-29
  • 看涨与看跌成交量:26,101 张看涨 · 20,027 张看跌 — 偏向 +13.2%,偏向看涨
  • 成交量/未平仓量周转: 0.11×
  • 权利金(名义金额代理):$16.7M 看涨 · $44.0M 看跌 — 偏向 -45.0%,偏向看跌
  • 价外偏斜:+23.6%,偏向价外看涨
  • 隐含波动率偏斜(看跌 − 看涨): +13.7%